And now for a sporting proposition ...
Just as Kekule’s vision of a snake swallowing its own tail led him to solve the circular structure of the benzene molecule, it came to me in a dream.
Physicists, aerodynamicists, and ballisticians have agreed for more than a century that fin- and spin-stabilized projectiles point into the relative wind in flight, canted relative to the line of departure from the bore in a crosswind. Indeed, this behavior is what DEFINES stability. Predictions of wind deflection based on this “nose into the wind” model are quite accurate, as determined experimentally.
Many shooters, on the other hand, subscribe to the “sail area” model, where wind deflection is produced by crosswind blowing on the side of the bullet, with the bullet maintaining its long axis parallel to the line of departure from the bore.
Is there an experiment that the average shooter can carry out to distinguish between these competing hypotheses? According to my dream, there is.
LET’S SHOOT BULLETS BACKWARDS!
The “nose into the wind” proponents (you know, the eggheads who brought you powered flight, the moon landing, and nuclear weapons) will claim that a typical pointed bullet will have much more drag if shot backwards (base-first), and so will have more drop and more wind deflection if started at the same muzzle velocity as the bullet fired in the normal point-first orientation.
The “sail area” intuitivists must predict that, while drop will be greater because of the increased “frontal drag” of a backwards bullet, the wind deflection should be the same whether the bullet is pointed forward or backward, because the “side drag” from the crosswind is the same regardless of bullet orientation enroute to the target.
Now, some “sail area” intuitivists are going to balk at this experiment because they will claim that any additional wind deflection in the backwards bullets is due to the increased time of flight, and therefore the longer time the “sail area” is being pushed on by the crosswind.
Since even die-hard “sail area” proponents seem to trust ballisticians to produce reasonably accurate drop tables based on aerodynamic models, to satisfy the “time of flight x sail area” crowd we could raise the muzzle velocity of the backwards bullets until they produced a time of flight to the target equal to (or even a little shorter than) that of the forward-pointed bullets. This would be done by estimating BC using drop data or chronograph data, and plugging the numbers into a ballistics program to find the right (i.e., higher) muzzle velocity needed for the backwards bullets.
Just for grins, I used Art Pejsa's program
www.jacksonrifles.com/files/pejsa ballistics.xls
to see how this experiment might play out. Let's shoot a 6mm bullet point-first with a BC of 0.435 at 2000 fps at a 300yd target with a 10mph crosswind. Let's turn the same bullet around backwards and just take a wild guess that the base-first BC is 0.270.
MV(fps) BC drop(MOA) deflection(MOA) time of flight(sec)
2000 0.435 5.5 4.0 0.52
2000 0.270 6.9 7.2 0.58
What the heck. Let's blast that bass-ackwards bullet downrange at 2500fps while we're at it.
2500 0.270 4.5 5.0 0.45
So, the "nose into the wind" physicists are claiming that the backwards bullet, even when speeded up to produce a shorter time of flight to 300yd, will have a flatter trajectory (by 3in at 300yd) BUT MORE WIND DEFLECTION (by 3in at 300yd) than the same bullet shot point-first!
Surely the "sail area" proponents will predict that the faster backwards bullet will have the least wind deflection of all.
Now, before Al runs to his loading room to jam some bullets into cases upside down, there is the matter of the amount of the wager.
I have $100 that says those ballisticians understand the physics of bullet flight pretty well, and that the forward-pointing bullets will have less wind deflection than the base-first bullets either 1) when shot at the same muzzle velocity; or, 2) shot with the same time of flight to the target.
Who wants to bet $100 on their intuition?
Toby Bradshaw
baywingdb@comcast.net