I'd be willing to wager that I've sent more bullets over a chronograph in every condition imagineable than 99.9% of the people on this site and I can tell you one thing I've learned...........loads with low standard deviations are more forgiving of temperature swings than loads that have high deviations. Yes, a high SD load might punch a teen group. Once. Maybe twice. Maybe even several times. But throughout the day, and especially in big temp swings, the low sd load will give better results.
In other words, a load that shoots a group in the .100 inch range with an sd of 20 fps would eventually be overcome by a load that shoots .150 to .200" with an SD of 5 fps.
This is probably the root cause of why guys get to scrambling to find a new load a few matches into the days first agg. They had a load with a high sd that shot great at one particular atmospheric condition but once that condition went away, the inconsistencies in the ignition and combustion of their load opened up their group size.
In my testing of 6ppc's in major temperature swings, I have seen and recorded this phenomenon dozens of times. In my most recent test of charting and mapping out loads with N133 vs. H322 in 50 degree temp swings, I noted that H322 would give smaller groups "on occasion" than I could attain with N133 but that N133 was much more forgiving of temp change and SD's were smaller throughout the load ladder therefore making it easier to keep the gun in tune. When temps got into the 90's, H322 had node windows only .3 of a grain wide and N133 actually enlarged it's windows! So for someone concerned with staying atop the "tune" and trying to hold together four aggs across the span of two days, N133 would have been the clear winner. I could have chosen H322 and gone for a small group trophy, or I could choose N133 and go for the agg trophies.
Obviously, if you never set up a chrono, you would never know any of this. You just "paper tune" and sometimes you luck out and sometimes you don't. But whether you luck out or whether you don't, you wouldn't have known why.